Fort Bend County
Virtual Personas for Language Models via an Anthology of Backstories
Moon, Suhong, Abdulhai, Marwa, Kang, Minwoo, Suh, Joseph, Soedarmadji, Widyadewi, Behar, Eran Kohen, Chan, David M.
Large language models (LLMs) are trained from vast repositories of text authored by millions of distinct authors, reflecting an enormous diversity of human traits. While these models bear the potential to be used as approximations of human subjects in behavioral studies, prior efforts have been limited in steering model responses to match individual human users. In this work, we introduce "Anthology", a method for conditioning LLMs to particular virtual personas by harnessing open-ended life narratives, which we refer to as "backstories." We show that our methodology enhances the consistency and reliability of experimental outcomes while ensuring better representation of diverse sub-populations. Across three nationally representative human surveys conducted as part of Pew Research Center's American Trends Panel (ATP), we demonstrate that Anthology achieves up to 18% improvement in matching the response distributions of human respondents and 27% improvement in consistency metrics. Our code and generated backstories are available at https://github.com/CannyLab/anthology.
High-Resolution Agent-Based Modeling of Campus Population Behaviors for Pandemic Response Planning
This paper reports a case study of an application of high-resolution agent-based modeling and simulation to pandemic response planning on a university campus. In the summer of 2020, we were tasked with a COVID-19 pandemic response project to create a detailed behavioral simulation model of the entire campus population at Binghamton University. We conceptualized this problem as an agent migration process on a multilayer transportation network, in which each layer represented a different transportation mode. As no direct data were available about people's behaviors on campus, we collected as much indirect information as possible to inform the agents' behavioral rules. Each agent was assumed to move along the shortest path between two locations within each transportation layer and switch layers at a parking lot or a bus stop, along with several other behavioral assumptions. Using this model, we conducted simulations of the whole campus population behaviors on a typical weekday, involving more than 25,000 agents. We measured the frequency of close social contacts at each spatial location and identified several busy locations and corridors on campus that needed substantial behavioral intervention. Moreover, systematic simulations with varying population density revealed that the effect of population density reduction was nonlinear, and that reducing the population density to 40-45% would be optimal and sufficient to suppress disease spreading on campus. These results were reported to the university administration and utilized in the pandemic response planning, which led to successful outcomes.
MaxFloodCast: Ensemble Machine Learning Model for Predicting Peak Inundation Depth And Decoding Influencing Features
Lee, Cheng-Chun, Huang, Lipai, Antolini, Federico, Garcia, Matthew, Juanb, Andrew, Brody, Samuel D., Mostafavi, Ali
Timely, accurate, and reliable information is essential for decision-makers, emergency managers, and infrastructure operators during flood events. This study demonstrates a proposed machine learning model, MaxFloodCast, trained on physics-based hydrodynamic simulations in Harris County, offers efficient and interpretable flood inundation depth predictions. Achieving an average R-squared of 0.949 and a Root Mean Square Error of 0.61 ft on unseen data, it proves reliable in forecasting peak flood inundation depths. Validated against Hurricane Harvey and Storm Imelda, MaxFloodCast shows the potential in supporting near-time floodplain management and emergency operations. The model's interpretability aids decision-makers in offering critical information to inform flood mitigation strategies, to prioritize areas with critical facilities and to examine how rainfall in other watersheds influences flood exposure in one area. The MaxFloodCast model enables accurate and interpretable inundation depth predictions while significantly reducing computational time, thereby supporting emergency response efforts and flood risk management more effectively.
Anomaly Detection in Satellite Videos using Diffusion Models
Awasthi, Akash, Ly, Son, Nizam, Jaer, Zare, Samira, Mehta, Videet, Ahmed, Safwan, Shah, Keshav, Nemani, Ramakrishna, Prasad, Saurabh, Van Nguyen, Hien
The definition of anomaly detection is the identification of an unexpected event. Real-time detection of extreme events such as wildfires, cyclones, or floods using satellite data has become crucial for disaster management. Although several earth-observing satellites provide information about disasters, satellites in the geostationary orbit provide data at intervals as frequent as every minute, effectively creating a video from space. There are many techniques that have been proposed to identify anomalies in surveillance videos; however, the available datasets do not have dynamic behavior, so we discuss an anomaly framework that can work on very high-frequency datasets to find very fast-moving anomalies. In this work, we present a diffusion model which does not need any motion component to capture the fast-moving anomalies and outperforms the other baseline methods.
Machine Learning in Orbit Estimation: a Survey
Caldas, Francisco, Soares, Clรกudia
Since the late 1950s, when the first artificial satellite was launched, the number of Resident Space Objects has steadily increased. It is estimated that around one million objects larger than one cm are currently orbiting the Earth, with only thirty thousand larger than ten cm being tracked. To avert a chain reaction of collisions, known as Kessler Syndrome, it is essential to accurately track and predict debris and satellites' orbits. Current approximate physics-based methods have errors in the order of kilometers for seven-day predictions, which is insufficient when considering space debris, typically with less than one meter. This failure is usually due to uncertainty around the state of the space object at the beginning of the trajectory, forecasting errors in environmental conditions such as atmospheric drag, and unknown characteristics such as the mass or geometry of the space object. Operators can enhance Orbit Prediction accuracy by deriving unmeasured objects' characteristics and improving non-conservative forces' effects by leveraging data-driven techniques, such as Machine Learning. In this survey, we provide an overview of the work in applying Machine Learning for Orbit Determination, Orbit Prediction, and atmospheric density modeling.
Environment-based Assistance Modulation for a Hip Exosuit via Computer Vision
Tricomi, Enrica, Mossini, Mirko, Missiroli, Francesco, Lotti, Nicola, Xiloyannis, Michele, Roveda, Loris, Masia, Lorenzo
Just like in humans vision plays a fundamental role in guiding adaptive locomotion, when designing the control strategy for a walking assistive technology, Computer Vision may bring substantial improvements when performing an environment-based assistance modulation. In this work, we developed a hip exosuit controller able to distinguish among three different walking terrains through the use of an RGB camera and to adapt the assistance accordingly. The system was tested with seven healthy participants walking throughout an overground path comprising of staircases and level ground. Subjects performed the task with the exosuit disabled (Exo Off), constant assistance profile (Vision Off ), and with assistance modulation (Vision On). Our results showed that the controller was able to promptly classify in real-time the path in front of the user with an overall accuracy per class above the 85%, and to perform assistance modulation accordingly. Evaluation related to the effects on the user showed that Vision On was able to outperform the other two conditions: we obtained significantly higher metabolic savings than Exo Off, with a peak of about -20% when climbing up the staircase and about -16% in the overall path, and than Vision Off when ascending or descending stairs. Such advancements in the field may yield to a step forward for the exploitation of lightweight walking assistive technologies in real-life scenarios.
Meet the world's most realistic humanoid ROBOTS
From Ex Machina to I, Robot, humanoid robots have been a staple feature in science fiction blockbusters throughout the years. Now, lifelike robots are becoming more and more popular in the real world, with many able to produce human speech and facial expressions with eerie precision. This week, a robot described as the'world's most advanced humanoid robot' hit the headlines, after it tried to dispel fears of a robot takeover. Ameca, a humanoid robot developed by Cornwall-based Engineered Arts, said: 'There's no need to worry, robots will never take over the world. We're here to help and serve humans, not replace them.'
Computer Vision for Volunteer Cotton Detection in a Corn Field with UAS Remote Sensing Imagery and Spot Spray Applications
Yadav, Pappu Kumar, Thomasson, J. Alex, Searcy, Stephen W., Hardin, Robert G., Braga-Neto, Ulisses, Popescu, Sorin C., Martin, Daniel E., Rodriguez, Roberto, Meza, Karem, Enciso, Juan, Diaz, Jorge Solorzano, Wang, Tianyi
To control boll weevil (Anthonomus grandis L.) pest re-infestation in cotton fields, the current practices of volunteer cotton (VC) (Gossypium hirsutum L.) plant detection in fields of rotation crops like corn (Zea mays L.) and sorghum (Sorghum bicolor L.) involve manual field scouting at the edges of fields. This leads to many VC plants growing in the middle of fields remain undetected that continue to grow side by side along with corn and sorghum. When they reach pinhead squaring stage (5-6 leaves), they can serve as hosts for the boll weevil pests. Therefore, it is required to detect, locate and then precisely spot-spray them with chemicals. In this paper, we present the application of YOLOv5m on radiometrically and gamma-corrected low resolution (1.2 Megapixel) multispectral imagery for detecting and locating VC plants growing in the middle of tasseling (VT) growth stage of cornfield. Our results show that VC plants can be detected with a mean average precision (mAP) of 79% and classification accuracy of 78% on images of size 1207 x 923 pixels at an average inference speed of nearly 47 frames per second (FPS) on NVIDIA Tesla P100 GPU-16GB and 0.4 FPS on NVIDIA Jetson TX2 GPU. We also demonstrate the application of a customized unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) for spot-spray applications based on the developed computer vision (CV) algorithm and how it can be used for near real-time detection and mitigation of VC plants growing in corn fields for efficient management of the boll weevil pests.
A Novel index-based multidimensional data organization model that enhances the predictability of the machine learning algorithms
Learning from the multidimensional data has been an interesting concept in the field of machine learning. However, such learning can be difficult, complex, expensive because of expensive data processing, manipulations as the number of dimension increases. As a result, we have introduced an ordered index-based data organization model as the ordered data set provides easy and efficient access than the unordered one and finally, such organization can improve the learning. The ordering maps the multidimensional dataset in the reduced space and ensures that the information associated with the learning can be retrieved back and forth efficiently. We have found that such multidimensional data storage can enhance the predictability for both the unsupervised and supervised machine learning algorithms.
High Temporal Resolution Rainfall Runoff Modelling Using Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) Networks
Li, Wei, Kiaghadi, Amin, Dawson, Clint N.
Accurate and efficient models for rainfall runoff (RR) simulations are crucial for flood risk management. Most rainfall models in use today are process-driven; i.e. they solve either simplified empirical formulas or some variation of the St. Venant (shallow water) equations. With the development of machine-learning techniques, we may now be able to emulate rainfall models using, for example, neural networks. In this study, a data-driven RR model using a sequence-to-sequence Long-short-Term-Memory (LSTM) network was constructed. The model was tested for a watershed in Houston, TX, known for severe flood events. The LSTM network's capability in learning long-term dependencies between the input and output of the network allowed modeling RR with high resolution in time (15 minutes). Using 10-years precipitation from 153 rainfall gages and river channel discharge data (more than 5.3 million data points), and by designing several numerical tests the developed model performance in predicting river discharge was tested. The model results were also compared with the output of a process-driven model Gridded Surface Subsurface Hydrologic Analysis (GSSHA). Moreover, physical consistency of the LSTM model was explored. The model results showed that the LSTM model was able to efficiently predict discharge and achieve good model performance. When compared to GSSHA, the data-driven model was more efficient and robust in terms of prediction and calibration. Interestingly, the performance of the LSTM model improved (test Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency from 0.666 to 0.942) when a selected subset of rainfall gages based on the model performance, were used as input instead of all rainfall gages.